← Grand Archive PTM Regionals at Gamers Guild North Phoenix
Fire Tera KongmingTier 2
at Grand Archive PTM Regionals at Gamers Guild North Phoenix
decks
2
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
1-9-1
overall winrate
13.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
29.9%
avg ELO -8.8 per match
expected value
40.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1093
· median 1093
· range 1046–1141
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1172
Q3 1481
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 10.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.9% | -6.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.7% | -13.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Tera Kongming decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
